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Analysis of the development trend of China intelligent manufacturing industry in 2018

2018/5/5 14:40:48 Viewers:
First, the general trend of intelligent manufacturing

1. The demographic dividend disappears and the labor force becomes scarce resources

The demographic dividend is the economic growth effect associated with the increase in the proportion of the working population in the total population. It usually occurs in the late period of the transition period of the population, at this time, because of the decline in fertility, the population of young children is reduced and the proportion of the working age population is rising. Some experts point out that the population change has made China enjoy the demographic dividend from 1960s, and as the birth rate continues to decline, the number of China's labor population has declined in 2012, which means the demographic dividend tends to disappear, and the turning point of China's demographic dividend stage around 2015.

China's demographic dividend faces a turning point

Sources: public data consolidation

Related reports: "2018-2024 years of China's high-end smart equipment market supply and demand forecast and investment prospect forecast report" issued by Chi Yan consulting network.

The traditional labor intensive enterprises in China rely heavily on the demographic dividend, and the disappearance of the demographic dividend makes the low-cost labor force become scarce resources, and the traditional manufacturing industry is facing the problem of survival with the increasing human cost.

2, the continued recovery of downstream demand

The information industry is a typical upstream industry, which mainly serves the information needs of different industries, such as education, medical care, finance, government, industry and so on. The promotion of upstream prosperity can effectively promote the promotion of information investment, which is better than the information enterprises in the downstream industry. In the past few years, medical IT, financial IT and other fields have come out. The situation is too high. Compared with the medical, financial and other industries, the level of industrial informatization in China is relatively low, and the industry itself has the demand for permeability enhancement. On the other hand, in recent years, in the impetus of the policy of the state supply side reform, the demand for industrial fields has been sustained, and the performance of many subdivision industries, such as automobile, steel, textile and so on, has recovered. The recovery of downstream industries will be expected to drive upstream investment in information technology.

The automobile industry is an important force to push forward the new round of scientific and technological revolution and industrial transformation. It is also an important support for building a strong manufacturing country and an important pillar of the national economy.  In October 2017, automobile production and sales decreased slightly compared with last month, a slight increase. In the 1-10 month, the auto industry was running smoothly, and the main economic indicators increased to varying degrees. Although the growth rate slowed down, it was still at a relatively fast growth level. China's automobile industry has been growing steadily in recent months, showing that the demand for industry is still strong.

Monthly car sales and year-on-year changes in 2015-2017 years

Sources: public data consolidation

Machinery industry: 249 companies listed before 2016 increased by 14.6% in the 1 quarter of 2017, up 25.7% in the 2 quarter. Since 2017, the demand for industry has been strong, and the profitability of the manufacturing sector is being repaired.

Operating income and growth rate of 249 listed companies in the machinery industry

Sources: public data consolidation

Thanks to the continuous recovery of downstream demand, the investment in manufacturing informatization is expected to continue to increase, and the relevant information enterprises will benefit from it.

3, the enterprise's own profit seeking

With the increase of human cost and the cost of raw materials in the upstream, the difficulty of enterprise profit has been more difficult than in the past, especially in the manufacturing industry.

The manufacturing cycle time of manufacturing enterprises refers to the total time from order delivery through workshop turnover to final shipment. The shorter the manufacturing cycle time is, the less the manufacturer's inventory is, the less material will be scrapped when the market demand changes, and the greater the flexibility of adjustment and adaptation. On the other hand, the longer the period of manufacturing, the more the backlog, the increase of bad and waste, the increase of the storage cost and so on. In addition, the longer the manufacturing cycle, the more problems that may arise in the factory workshop. Reducing the manufacturing cycle time not only affects the preparation of the material, but also improves the shipment plan and the output of the product, because the time of the material stays shorter before the next operation, so the process is reduced. Because the product is less processed, the quality of the product can be improved.  The manufacturing cycle time is the biggest problem in the complex category assembly of most electronics and electrical appliances. Each time the manufacturing cycle is doubled, the profit and profit of the enterprise can increase by 2.2 times. Intelligent manufacturing can significantly shorten the manufacturing cycle time, improve production efficiency, reduce costs, and increase unit time output, thereby enhancing corporate profits. Therefore, because of their pursuit of profit, they will also invest more in the field of intelligent manufacturing.

Intelligent manufacturing to improve enterprise income

Sources: public data consolidation

4, policy intensive, China made 2025 imminent.

In 2015, the State Council issued "China made 2025" and proposed the strategic goal of realizing the manufacturing power through "three steps". The programme of action faces ten key areas and builds five major projects, including the construction of innovation center in manufacturing industry, intelligent manufacturing, industrial strong base, green manufacturing, and high-end equipment innovation. The nineteen major reports also put forward new requirements for the development of manufacturing industry.

A few years ago, according to the Circular of the Ministry of industry and information technology on the recommendation of the 2017 pilot project on Intelligent Manufacturing demonstration project, the list of pilot projects for the pilot project of Intelligent Manufacturing in 2017 has been confirmed through the selection of local industry and information departments, expert reviews and online publicity. In order to promote the policy of intelligent manufacturing industry, we will accelerate the deployment of the above projects, and summarize the experience of pilot projects and promote them in various industries.